The polesitter has not retired since 2005, all of the top fourteen positions have provided top three finishes and wins from the second row are rare. Here’s everything you need to know about the history of each grid slot at Spa Francorchamps!
THE STATS IN BRIEF:
- Polesitter has finished on the podium every year since 2007
- Only one win away from front row in last 10 years
- 16th has furthest back win
- 20th has never scored
- Furthest back podium finish from 21st
|Grid||Last Win||Last Podium||Last Points||Last DNF||Best Finish|
Points likelihood: 77% Last points: 2019 Last DNF: 2005
The polesitter has gone on to win the Belgian Grand Prix at nineteen of the 52 events which have been held here. Five of the last six Spa races have been won from pole. Pole position is the grid slot which has gone the longest without a DNF, with Juan Pablo Montoya being the last polesitter to have retired at this track back in 2005. Since then, the polesitter has finished on the podium in every race at the circuit.
Points likelihood: 71% Last points: 2019 Last DNF: 2012
In the 52 races at Spa, the driver starting from fourth has never recorded a victory. There have been ten podium finishes from this position, including six runner-up finishes, but never a win. In 2019, Valtteri Bottas became the first driver to record a podium finish from this grid slot since Fernando Alonso, who finished second in 2005. The driver starting here has scored points in all of the last seven Belgian races and has not retired since 2012.
Points likelihood: 69% Last points: 2016 Last DNF: 2018
It’s difficult to know whether grid position eight at Spa is lucky or unlucky. On one hand, the driver starting here has retired from two of the last three races at the track, and has suffered five DNFs in the last nine races. On the other hand, only pole position and third on the grid have had more points-scoring races at the track, while only pole has finished in the top ten more times than this grid slot. There have been ten occasions when the driver starting here has finished on the podium; the most recent to do so was Sebastian Vettel in 2009.
Points likelihood: 67% Last points: 2019 Last DNF: 2014
In recent years, we’ve seen the driver in second being more likely to lead by the fourth corner thanks to the layout of the track. After the cars have gone through Eau Rouge and up the Radillion section of track, they come to the Kemmel Straight, where slipstreaming can be highly effective. In the last six seasons, only one win has been taken by the driver starting second. That was Sebastian Vettel in 2018. Sebastian Vettel failed to finish on the podium having started second last year, while Max Verstappen’s eleventh place in 2016 is the only time in the last five years that the driver starting here has failed to score.
Points likelihood: 65% Last points: 2019 Last DNF: 2008
In the last eight seasons, Kimi Raikkonen in 2012 and Lewis Hamilton in 2019 are the only drivers to finish on the podium having started third on the grid at the Belgian Grand Prix. Last year was the first time that the driver starting here has not finished lower than fourth in the past seven years. The last driver to start from third and win the Belgian Grand Prix was Damon Hill, when he famously took the Jordan team’s first victory in 1998.
Points likelihood: 62% Last points: 2017 Last DNF: 2018
Sixth on the grid has supplied five wins at Spa Francorchamps, more than either of the grid slots immediately ahead of it, and more than any behind it. The most recent victory for a driver starting sixth was for Kimi Raikkonen in 2009. Since then, the position has had only two podium finishes, both third places, for Valtteri Bottas in 2014 and Daniel Ricciardo in 2017. The driver starting here has failed to score in either of the last two seasons.
Points likelihood: 58% Last points: 2018 Last DNF: 2016
In the last seven years, two podium finishes have come from ninth on the grid at the Belgian Grand Prix. Fernando Alonso recorded the grid position’s best ever result with a second place finish in 2013, while Romain Grosjean finished third in 2015. The position has provided points scoring finishes more often than not in recent seasons.
Points likelihood: 58% Last points: 2019 Last DNF: 2009
The driver starting from thirteenth at Spa has scored seven times in the last nine races, and Jenson Button took a podium finish having started from here in 2011. The position has given three podium finishes in total, additionally providing third place finishes for Andrea de Cesaris in 1987 and for Martin Brundle in 1995. Furthermore, in the last 23 years, the driver starting here has recorded a DNF only twice. They were for Giancarlo Fisichella in 2005 and Fernando Alonso in 2009.
Points likelihood: 48% Last points: 2018 Last DNF: 2019
The fifth grid position at Spa has suffered more DNFs than any other. There have been a total of 26 DNFs from fifth on the grid, plus a disqualification for Mika Hakkinen following a fuel irregularity in 1997, costing him a podium finish. The recent history of this grid slot is very inconsistent. While Romain Grosjean finished seventh having started fifth in 2018, before that the grid slot saw four DNFs in six seasons, interspersed by two top three finishes for Daniel Ricciardo, including a win in 2014. Last year’s race resulted in a first lap retirement for Max Verstappen. In the eleven races at the track between 1968 and 1992, Nigel Mansell in 1986 was the only driver not to record a DNF having started here – and he won the race!
Points likelihood: 48% Last points: 2019 Last DNF: 2015
The driver starting seventh has finished no lower than sixth in all of the last four years, and Max Verstappen recorded a podium finish from here in 2018. His was the first podium result from this grid slot since the turn of the millennium and only the fourth from here overall. It has had the least podium finishes of any grid slot in the top nine.
Points likelihood: 48% Last points: 2018 Last DNF: 2017
Kimi Raikkonen won the Belgian Grand Prix from tenth on the grid in 2004, marking the only time that this grid slot has provided a win at Spa. Since then, Sebastian Vettel has also finished on the podium from here in 2012. Tenth on the grid has had 25 top ten finishes as well as 25 non-classified results. The driver starting here has scored twice in the last five seasons.
Points likelihood: 46% Last points: 2019 Last DNF: 2018
In the last ten years, the driver starting twelfth at the Belgian Grand Prix has scored five times, including a second-best result of fourth for Daniil Kvyat in 2015. The only result better than that was Jim Clark’s win in 1962, making this the second furthest back grid slot from which a victory has been secured at Spa.
Points likelihood: 42% Last points: 2019 Last DNF: 2014
The sixteenth grid slot is the one which holds the record for the furthest back win at this circuit. Michael Schumacher took victory for Benetton from this slot back in 1995. The grid slot may have only scored in the Belgian Grand Prix five times since then, but three of those occasions have been in the last five races.
Points likelihood: 38% Last points: 2017 Last DNF: 2019
In the last five seasons, only one points-scoring finish has come from eleventh on the grid at the Belgian Grand Prix. That was for Romain Grosjean who finished seventh in 2017. The driver starting here has finished on the podium three times, all three times being third place finishes, the most recent of which was for Stefan Johansson in 1986.
Points likelihood: 33% Last points: 2012 Last DNF: 2019
A driver starting fifteenth at Spa has never finished above fifth at the Belgian Grand Prix. Two drivers have finished in the top five from this grid slot: Jackie Oliver in 1968 and Satoru Nakajima in 1987. The driver starting here has failed to score in all of the last seven seasons, four of those races resulting in retirements. Jean-Eric Vergne’s eighth place in 2012 is the last time that this grid slot picked up a point.
Points likelihood: 28% Last points: 2019 Last DNF: 2014
The driver starting seventeenth at Spa has had two top five finishes in the last two seasons. Valtteri Bottas finished fourth in 2018 – the grid slot’s best ever finishing position – while Alex Albon finished fifth last year. In the last ten years, the grid slot has had only one retirement. In total, there have been thirteen top ten finishes from seventeenth on the grid at Spa.
Points likelihood: 27% Last points: 2015 Last DNF: 2018
The driver starting from eighteenth at the Belgian Grand Prix has retired twice in the last three years. In the last 34 races at the track, Nico Hulkenberg and Max Verstappen are the only drivers to have scored here, having done so in consecutive years (2014 and 2015). Before them, Carel Godin de Beaufort was the only other driver to have scored from eighteenth on the grid, taking a sixth place finish for Porsche in 1963.
Points likelihood: 27% Last points: 2012 Last DNF: 2018
Felipe Massa’s fifth place in 2012 is the last time that the driver lining up fourteenth on the grid at the Belgian Grand Prix scored. The best result from this grid slot is second, recorded by Bruce McLaren back in 1960. The driver starting here has failed to finish in two of the last four seasons.
Points likelihood: 21% Last points: 2019 Last DNF: 2009
The driver starting nineteenth at the Belgian Grand Prix has scored only three times, all three of those occasions being in the last fourteen races at Spa. The best result from this grid slot is seventh, recorded by Ralf Schumacher in 2001 before the position offered points, and by Daniil Kvyat last year. Romain Grosjean’s retirement in 2009 is the only time since 2005 that the driver starting here has failed to finish.
Points likelihood:0% Last points: – Last DNF: 2016
Of the top twenty grid slots at the Spa Francorchamps circuit, twentieth is the only one to have never scored a point at the track; nor has it ever recorded a top ten finish. Top ten finishes have come from 21st, 22nd, 23rd, 24th and 25th on the grid, but never from twentieth. The best finish from this grid slot was an eleventh place for Narain Karthikeyan in the 2005 race. With Robert Kubica starting from the pit lane in 2019, last year was the first time that the twentieth grid slot was left vacant at the Belgian Grand Prix since the third start in 2001.
Points likelihood: – Last points: – Last DNF: –
Last year, Robert Kubica started from the pit lane at Spa. He finished the race in seventeenth place.
After graduating in 2015 with a First Class honours degree in English Language and Literature, Nicky Haldenby, a lifelong fan of Formula 1, founded the Lights Out F1 Blog in 2016. Now in its sixth season, the blog has become a firm fan-favourite, delving deep into the sport’s history books and lifting the cover on unusual F1 statistics. Nicky also writes at F1Destinations and GPDestinations. In 2017 and 2018, he wrote for Badger GP. Nicky is also the host of the F1 Rewind Podcast and can be heard as the resident stats man on the 2 Soft Compounds Podcast.